Publications

Vogt, T., Treu, S., Mengel, M. et al. Modeling surge dynamics improves coastal flood estimates in a global set of tropical cyclones. Commun Earth Environ 5, 529 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01707-x

Paprotny, D., Terefenko, P., and Śledziowski, J.: HANZE v2.1: an improved database of flood impacts in Europe from 1870 to 2020, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 16, 5145–5170, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-5145-2024 2024.

Paprotny, D., Tilloy, A., Treu S., Buch A., Vousdoukas M.I., Feyen L., Kreibich H., Merz B., Frieler K., Mengel M. (2025). Attribution of flood impacts shows strong benefits of adaptation in Europe since 1950. Science Advances11(33), eadt7068, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adt7068. Epub 2025 Aug 15. PMID: 40815656; PMCID: PMC12356248.

Mahé Perrette, Matthias Mengel (2025). Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites. Sci. Adv.11, eado4506(2025). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.ado4506

Tim H. J. Hermans, Chiheb Ben Hammouda, Simon Treu, Timothy Tiggeloven, Anaïs Couasnon, Julius J. M. Busecke, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal. (2025). Computing extreme storm surges in Europe using neural networks. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4593–4612, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4593-2025

Śledziowski, J., Terefenko, P., Giza, A., Tanwari, K., & Paprotny, D. (2026). CLIMB: Framework for CLIMate data bias-adjustment and downscaling. SoftwareX33, 102479

Vertegaal, D. M., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Couasnon, A., Aleksandrova, N., Bovenschen, T., Gradiyanto, F., Leijnse, T. W. B., Goulart, H. M. D., & Muis, S. (2026). Climate and impact attribution of compound flooding induced by tropical cyclone Idai in Mozambique. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences26(3), 1417-1433, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1417-2026

Ronco M., Tilloy A., Corbane C., Delforge D., Feyen L., Jäger W., Matanó A., Paprotny D., Sibilia A., Tiggeloven T., Ward. P. (2026). Compounding extremes increase flood damage across Europe. Nature Communications (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73248-0

Serres K., Gámbaro F., Pietroiusti R., Da Re D., Vincenti-Gonzalez M., da Silva Candido D., Arsevska E., De Dixmude A. J., Quesada D., Mengel M., Paprotny D., Klitting R., Marsboom C., Thiery W., Ghisbain G., Erazo D., Dellicour S. (2025). Escalating human exposure to tropical mosquito-borne viruses in Europe. Nature Microbiology, in review, doi:10.64898/2025.12.02.691392

Yu, J., Paprotny, D., Merz, R., and Tarasova, L. (2025). Flood generation processes shape fatality and economic losses in Europe, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-6966 (Manuscript submitted to and under review at Communications Earth & Environment, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6966, 2025.

Pietroiusti, J. Hetzer, M. Turco, A. Laridon, Q. Lejeune, S. Prudencio Monta, D. Paprotny, W. Thiery (2026). Increasing lifetime exposure to extreme fire weather under climate change in Europe (preprint, Manuscript submitted to and under review at Environmental Research Letters), https://doi.org/10.31223/X5ZZ0R

Luderer G., Weigmann P., Roelfsema M., Creutzig F., Hsu A., Kikstra J. S., Köhler-Schindler L., Lecuyer F., Manya-Gutierrez D., Zhang Z., Reis L. A., Angelkorte G., Baptista L. B., Bondarenko M., Daioglou V., de Boer H.-S., Drouet L., Dürrwächter J., Fricko O., Fu X., Fujimori S., George M., Hagen A. K., Hasegawa T., Joshi S., Mastrucci A., Nishiura O., O’Neill B., Paprotny D., Rosemann R., Schaeffer R., Tavoni M., van Vuuren D., Riahi K. (2026). Sector-detailed urban Greenhouse Gas Emission Futures derived from the ScenarioMIP-CMIP7 ensemble (preprint, Manuscript submitted to and under review at Environmental Research Letters), 10.5281/zenodo.19348484

Poppy Webb, Doris Vertegaal, Sanne Muis, Martha Vogel, and Christopher Jack (2026). Impact attribution of compound flooding from Tropical Cyclone Idai: Assessing the influence of land cover change and underlying socio-economic drivers using a mixed-methods approach (Manuscript submitted to and under review at Natural Hazard and Earth System Sciences)

Kiesel, J., Seeger, K., Minderhoud, P., Couasnon, A., Nguyen, H. Q., Sadana, T., van Loon, A., Leijnse, T., & Scussolini, P. (2026). How mangroves and past land-use change affect compound floods in the Mekong Delta. Manuscript submitted to Environmental Research : Water and currently under review