Mozambique – the 2019 and 2023 tropical cyclones and drought events

Facts and Figures: In March and April 2019, Eastern Africa was hit by two consecutive tropical cyclones (Idai and Kenneth) that caused large damages. In Mozambique the cyclones were preceded by a drought in a context of chronic under nutrition and compounded with high levels of poverty and limited financial space for the government to respond effectively. Access to fresh water and energy were compromised. In 2023 record-breaking Cyclone Freddy made two landfalls in one month, affecting over 1 million people in Mozambique. The strong winds and heavy rainfall cause dangerous compound flooding. Tropical cyclones and drought events can put pressure on the stressed fresh water supplies, further exacerbated by sea-level rise.

The COMPASS contribution: We will assess compound flooding and saltwater intrusion using a global to local modelling approach (i.e. Delft3D FM, SFINCS, wflow-sb) developed within COMPASS. We will also assess counterfactual conditions, linked with an impact model to evaluate societal impacts and non-hazard compounding factors. A similar assessment will be carried out for drought compounding with saltwater intrusion.

Tropical Cyclone Kenneth, Mozambique Channel

Date: 25/4/2019

Credit: Nasa Earth Observatory, Joshua Stevens, using VIIRS data from the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership

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Tropical Cyclone Idai and Kenneth, Mozambique

Credit: UNICEF

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